Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.021291 0.022914 0.024602 0.026491 0.028546 0.030717 0.033186
2025-12-28 0.018517 0.020839 0.023380 0.026373 0.029809 0.033641 0.038252
2026-01-04 0.016727 0.019454 0.022552 0.026343 0.030877 0.036148 0.042771
2026-01-11 0.015467 0.018473 0.021991 0.026435 0.031930 0.038543 0.047162
2026-01-18 0.014438 0.017636 0.021477 0.026462 0.032806 0.040673 0.051263
2026-01-25 0.013648 0.017007 0.021134 0.026622 0.033790 0.042924 0.055585
2026-02-01 0.012787 0.016215 0.020513 0.026350 0.034154 0.044343 0.058845
2026-02-08 0.011969 0.015417 0.019820 0.025916 0.034239 0.045352 0.061558
2026-02-15 0.011339 0.014823 0.019347 0.025727 0.034614 0.046733 0.064824
2026-02-22 0.010742 0.014234 0.018841 0.025448 0.034824 0.047867 0.067770
2026-03-01 0.010234 0.013735 0.018423 0.025256 0.035126 0.049120 0.070931
2026-03-08 0.009772 0.013275 0.018031 0.025069 0.035407 0.050336 0.074080
2026-03-15 0.009398 0.012933 0.017807 0.025139 0.036109 0.052266 0.078545
2026-03-22 0.008982 0.012515 0.017455 0.025005 0.036501 0.053762 0.082448
2026-03-29 0.008630 0.012169 0.017186 0.024973 0.037036 0.055490 0.086818
2026-04-05 0.008340 0.011895 0.017007 0.025059 0.037744 0.057512 0.091787
2026-04-12 0.008053 0.011614 0.016799 0.025084 0.038348 0.059389 0.096620
2026-04-19 0.007821 0.011401 0.016679 0.025235 0.039151 0.061620 0.102193
2026-04-26 0.007500 0.011039 0.016317 0.024979 0.039273 0.062724 0.105860
2026-05-03 0.007163 0.010638 0.015874 0.024571 0.039115 0.063338 0.108676
2026-05-10 0.006902 0.010343 0.015584 0.024393 0.039328 0.064585 0.112708
2026-05-17 0.006638 0.010031 0.015254 0.024130 0.039378 0.065542 0.116255
2026-05-24 0.006407 0.009764 0.014981 0.023950 0.039555 0.066723 0.120292